Showing all posts tagged #precautionary:


Cascades

Posted on July 5th, 2019

First, The Basics. Cascades are the standard readjustment for complex systems. There is an *essential* distinction between the conditions that allow crises to emerge, and the particular events that trigger the cascade into crisis. — Joe Norman Big whirls have little whirls that feed on their velocity, and little whirls have lesser whirls, and so on to viscosity. — Lewis Fry Richardson, (1922) Interdependence. Strong Interdepende...

Nassim Nicholas Taleb looks at the risks threatening humanity clipping

Posted on July 25th, 2017

Summary: How to deal with risks dominates our headlines, usually driven by single-interest groups that see only their favorite threat. Statistician Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s latest work offers a way to identify the most serious threats facing us, and determine how much we should spend to fight each of them. It has received much attention. Is it useful? Part one of two. A series of papers by Nassim Nicholas Taleb et al made a large co...

Nassim Taleb: Methodology for Assessing Risks to Our Planet clipping

Posted on March 11th, 2015

In April, Brian Eno wrote to Nassim Nicholas Taleb, asking, "how can we even think about designing for a future that we can’t imagine?" The letter he sent was the inaugural Longplayer Letter, the first in a series of letters published by ArtAngel and Jem Finer’s Longplayer – a project to compose and perform a 1,000 year-long piece of music (running now for 13 years). The letters are to be written in relay-style: in responding to Eno’...